Rainfall Variability and Rice Production under Climate Change: Empirical Evidence and Climate-Smart Adaptation in Bogor Regency, Indonesia

Santosa Pradana Putra Setya Negara; Rhavida Anniza Andyani; Ni Putu Vida Indriani; Akmil Asril; Lucas Nathaniel Tan; Lucas Adrian Lee; Somsak Phommasone

doi:10.23917/saintek.v3i1.19831

Authors

Santosa Pradana Putra Setya Negara Faculty of Informatics, Technology, and Science, Universitas Muhammadiyah Madiun
Indonesia https://orcid.org/0009-0006-3233-2917
Rhavida Anniza Andyani Faculty of Informatics, Technology, and Science, Universitas Muhammadiyah Madiun
Indonesia
Ni Putu Vida Indriani Faculty of Applied Science and Tecknology, Universitas Bali International Muhammadiyah
Indonesia
Akmil Asril Faculty of Applied Science and Tecknology, Universitas Bali International Muhammadiyah
Indonesia
Lucas Nathaniel Tan School of Science and Technology, James Cook University
Singapore
Lucas Adrian Lee School of Science and Technology, James Cook University
Singapore
Somsak Phommasone Faculty of Agriculture and Forest Resources, Souphanouvong University
Lao People's Democratic Republic

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.23917/saintek.v3i1.19831

Keywords:

climate variability, water resource management, ENSO, rice farming systems, climate risk, agricultural vulnerability, food-system resilience, climate adaptation, hydrological variability

Abstract

Climate variability poses a growing challenge to rice production in Indonesia due to changes in rainfall patterns, water availability, and the increasing occurrence of extreme climatic events. This study aims to examine the relationship between rainfall variability and rice production and to identify climate-adaptation strategies for strengthening agricultural resilience. A qualitative approach combining a Systematic Literature Review (SLR), comparative analysis, and secondary-data analysis was employed. The literature review followed the PRISMA 2020 framework and synthesized 30 selected scientific studies, including three key studies used as principal synthesis sources. Secondary data on annual rainfall, ENSO conditions, harvested area, and rice production in Bogor Regency were analyzed for the 2018–2024 period.

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