Efficiency, Risk, and Fintech as Indonesian Bank Profitability Drivers
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.23917/reaksi.v11i2.18987Keywords:
Bank Profitability, Bank efficiency, Fintech lending, Risk-adjusted profitability, System GMMAbstract
Bank profitability is essential to financial intermediation and financial system stability, particularly in emerging economies undergoing rapid digital transformation. This study examines the associations of bank-specific factors, market structure, macroeconomic conditions, and fintech lending with the profitability of ten major Indonesian banks from 2018 to 2024. Annual panel data are analyzed using the one-step System Generalized Method of Moments. Bank profitability is measured using Return on Average Assets, Return on Average Equity, Net Interest Margin, Risk-Adjusted Return on Average Assets, and Risk-Adjusted Return on Average Equity. The findings indicate that the cost-to-income ratio is negatively associated with all five profitability measures, highlighting the importance of management efficiency. Credit risk, liquidity, income diversification, market concentration, inflation, and long-term interest rates exhibit different associations across conventional and risk-adjusted measures. Fintech lending is negatively associated with Net Interest Margin and both risk-adjusted profitability measures. These findings demonstrate that conventional and risk-adjusted indicators provide distinct perspectives on bank performance. Bank managers should therefore strengthen operational efficiency, credit risk management, and liquidity management while developing appropriate strategies to respond to increasing competition from fintech lending.
References
Ariffandi, A. Z., & Trinugroho, I. (2022). The Effect of Fintech Loans on Commercial Bank Margin. Jurnal Keuangan Dan Perbankan, 26(4), 748–757. https://doi.org/10.26905/jkdp.v26i4.7865
Athanasoglou, P. P., Brissimis, S. N., & Delis, M. D. (2008). Bank-specific, industry-specific and macroeconomic determinants of bank profitability. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 18(2), 121–136. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2006.07.001
Bain, J. S. (1951). Relation of Profit Rate to Industry Concentration: American Manufacturing, 1936-1940. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 65(3), 293. https://doi.org/10.2307/1882217
Bain, J. S. (1956). Barriers to New Competition. Harvard University Press. https://doi.org/10.4159/harvard.9780674188037
Bernardelli, L. C., & Carrasco-Gutierrez, C. E. (2024). Macroeconomic, industry-specific and bank-specific determinants of the profitability of Brazilian banks: Dynamic panel evidence. Empirical Economics, 67(2), 693–726. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-024-02568-1
Berger, A. N., & Hannan, T. H. (1989). The Price-Concentration Relationship in Banking. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 71(2), 291. https://doi.org/10.2307/1926975
Blank, S., Buch, C. M., & Neugebauer, K. (2009). Shocks at large banks and banking sector distress: The Banking Granular Residual. Journal of Financial Stability, 5(4), 353–373. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfs.2008.12.002
Blatter, M., & Fuster, A. (2022). Scale effects on efficiency and profitability in the Swiss banking sector. Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, 158(1), 12. https://doi.org/10.1186/s41937-022-00091-7
Borroni, M., & Rossi, S. (2019). Banking in Europe: The Quest for Profitability after the Great Financial Crisis. Springer International Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-15013-6
Cantika Daeli, E., & Kusumaning Wedari, L. (2025). Exploring the digital transformation impacts on bank profitability in Indonesia: A textual and sentiment analysis approach. Banks and Bank Systems, 20(1), 271–281. https://doi.org/10.21511/bbs.20(1).2025.22
Chen, M. A., Wu, Q., & Yang, B. (2018). How Valuable is FinTech Innovation? SSRN Electronic Journal. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3106892
Davis, E. P., Karim, D., & Noel, D. (2022). The effects of macroprudential policy on banks’ profitability. International Review of Financial Analysis, 80, 101989. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2021.101989
Demsetz, H. (1973). Industry Structure, Market Rivalry, and Public Policy. The Journal of Law and Economics, 16(1), 1–9. https://doi.org/10.1086/466752
Diamond, & W., D. (1984). Financial Intermediation and Delegated Monitoring. The Review of Economic Studies, 51(3), 393–414. https://doi.org/10.2307/2297430
Doğan, M., & Yildiz, F. (2023). Testing the Factors that Determine the Profitability of Banks with a Dynamic Approach: Evidence from Turkey. Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, 12(1), 225–248. https://doi.org/10.2478/jcbtp-2023-0010
Duygun, M., Hashem, S. Q., & Tanda, A. (2021). Editorial: Financial Intermediation Versus Disintermediation: Opportunities and Challenges in the FinTech Era. Frontiers in Artificial Intelligence, 3. https://doi.org/10.3389/frai.2020.629105
Elekdag, S. (2024). Does FinTech Increase Bank Risk Taking? IMF Working Papers, 2024(017), 1. https://doi.org/10.5089/9798400265167.001
Horobet, A., Radulescu, M., Belascu, L., & Dita, S. M. (2021). Determinants of Bank Profitability in CEE Countries: Evidence from GMM Panel Data Estimates. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 14(7), 307. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm14070307
Huu Vu, T., & Thanh Ngo, T. (2023). Bank capital and bank stability: The mediating role of liquidity creation and moderating role of asset diversification. Cogent Business & Management, 10(2), 2208425. https://doi.org/10.1080/23311975.2023.2208425
Junarsin, E., Pelawi, R. Y., Kristanto, J., Marcelin, I., & Pelawi, J. B. (2023). Does fintech lending expansion disturb financial system stability? Evidence from Indonesia. Heliyon, 9(9), e18384. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e18384
Khan, N., Afridi, M. A., Tahir, M., & Burki, U. (2026). Market Structure, Efficiency, and the Quest for Banking Performance: New Insights from an Evolving Banking Market. International Journal of Financial Studies, 14(1), 8. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijfs14010008
Khoiriah, T., Rokhim, R., & Wibowo, B. (2026). Basel III Capital and Conservation Buffers: Implications for the Credit Risk and Financial Stability of Indonesian Banks. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 19(4), 291. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm19040291
Kennedy, C., Gurley, J. G., Shaw, E. S., & Enthoven, A. C. (1960). Money in a Theory of Finance. The Economic Journal, 70(279), 568. https://doi.org/10.2307/2228813
Kohlsheen, E., Murcia, A., & Contreras, J. (2018). Determinants of bank profitability in emerging markets.
Kurnia Yuniarti, Nurul Inayah, Fibby Luthfia, & Henny Setyo Lestari. (2024). The Influence Of Digitalization, Bank Specifications, And Macroeconomics On Indonesia’s Bank Performance. Jurnal Ekonomi, 29(2), 220–240. https://doi.org/10.24912/je.v29i2.2222
Laporšek, S., Švagan, B., Stubelj, M., & Stubelj, I. (2024). Profitability Drivers in European Banks: Analyzing Internal and External Factors in the Post-2009 Financial Landscape. Risks, 13(1), 2. https://doi.org/10.3390/risks13010002
Mashamba, T., & Chikutuma, C. N. (2023). Determinants of bank profitability: Evidence from the emerging economy. Corporate and Business Strategy Review, 4(4, special issue), 310–323. https://doi.org/10.22495/cbsrv4i4siart12
Mason, E. (1939, March). Price and Production Policies of Large-Scale Enterprise on JSTOR. American Economics Association. https://www.jstor.org/stable/1806955
Maudos, J., Pastor, J. M., Pérez, F., & Quesada, J. (2002). Cost and profit efficiency in European banks. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 12(1), 33–58. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1042-4431(01)00051-8
Nguyen, L., Tran, S., & Ho, T. (2022). Fintech credit, bank regulations and bank performance: A cross-country analysis. Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Administration, 14(4), 445–466. https://doi.org/10.1108/APJBA-05-2021-0196
O’Connell, M. (2023). Bank-specific, industry-specific and macroeconomic determinants of bank profitability: Evidence from the UK. Studies in Economics and Finance, 40(1), 155–174. https://doi.org/10.1108/SEF-10-2021-0413
Petria, N., Capraru, B., & Ihnatov, I. (2015). Determinants of Banks’ Profitability: Evidence from EU 27 Banking Systems. Procedia Economics and Finance, 20, 518–524. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2212-5671(15)00104-5
Pham, T. P., Huynh, H. T., Popesko, B., Hoang, S. D., & Tran, T. B. (2024). Impact of Fintech’s Development on Bank Performance: An Empirical Study from Vietnam. Gadjah Mada International Journal of Business, 26(1), 1. https://doi.org/10.22146/gamaijb.71040
Phan, D. H. B., Narayan, P. K., Rahman, R. E., & Hutabarat, A. R. (2020). Do financial technology firms influence bank performance? Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 62, 101210. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pacfin.2019.101210
Priharta, A., & Gani, N. A. (2023). Determinants of bank profitability: Empirical evidence from Republic of Indonesia state-owned banks. Contaduría y Administración, 69(3). https://doi.org/10.22201/fca.24488410e.2024.4999
Saif-Alyousfi, A. Y. H. (2022). Determinants of bank profitability: Evidence from 47 Asian countries. Journal of Economic Studies, 49(1), 44–60. https://doi.org/10.1108/JES-05-2020-0215
Spence, M. (1973). Job Market Signaling. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 87(3), 355. https://doi.org/10.2307/1882010
Tarawneh, A., Abdul-Rahman, A., Mohd Amin, S. I., & Ghazali, M. F. (2024). A Systematic Review of Fintech and Banking Profitability. International Journal of Financial Studies, 12(1), 3. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijfs12010003
Thanh, B. D., Thach, N. N., & Tuan, T. A. (2022). Determinants of Bank Profitability in Vietnam. In N. Ngoc Thach, V. Kreinovich, D. T. Ha, & N. D. Trung (Eds), Financial Econometrics: Bayesian Analysis, Quantum Uncertainty, and Related Topics (Vol. 427, pp. 517–529). Springer International Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-98689-6_34
Tri Wahyudi, S., Sofie Nabella, R., & Sari, K. (2021). Measuring the competition and banking efficiency level: A study at four commercial banks in Indonesia. Banks and Bank Systems, 16(1), 17–26. https://doi.org/10.21511/bbs.16(1).2021.02
Yoon, S., Lee, H., & Oh, I. (2023). Differential Impact of Fintech and GDP on Bank Performance: Global Evidence. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 16(7), 304. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm16070304
Yudaruddin, R. (2024). Financial technology and banking market discipline in Indonesia banking. Journal of Asia Business Studies, 18(2), 299–317. https://doi.org/10.1108/JABS-05-2022-0174
Zeqiraj, V., Hammoudeh, S., Iskenderoglu, O., & Tiwari, A. K. (2020). Banking sector performance and economic growth: Evidence from Southeast European countries. Post-Communist Economies, 32(2), 267–284. https://doi.org/10.1080/14631377.2019.1640988
Downloads
Submitted
Accepted
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2026 Riset Akuntansi dan Keuangan Indonesia

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.













